La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82439326d30cb52783f84264a26ae658c6e7a336fd937e9a01deba141541b8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 51c | 1,951$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,110$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.36 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,089$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.97 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 48c | 1,000$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.11 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 43c | 525.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 365.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 314.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 52c | 214.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4520backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 75c | 132.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 123.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 51c | 109.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 78.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 76.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 71.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 56.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 56.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 50.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 51c | 49.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 37c | 29.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.