Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Hampshire vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829e479b6ce85fa4f5d191f5af8ac7e2eb4c650c431183089141c7fa247b775b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesexof Hampshire, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Hampshire | 52c | 1,359$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Middlesex | 51c | 780.47$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Hampshire | 2c | 717.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Middlesex | 32c | 284.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hampshire | 36c | 272.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Hampshire | 60c | 268.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Middlesex | 38c | 257.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Middlesex | 43c | 243.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hampshire | 28c | 225.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hampshire | 57c | 223.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Middlesex | 70c | 192.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hampshire | 51c | 160.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Hampshire | 63c | 154.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Hampshire | 62c | 150.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesex | 43c | 150.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Middlesex | 52c | 135$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Middlesex | 38c | 130.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Middlesex | 42c | 127.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hampshire | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Middlesex | 49c | 103.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hampshire | 61c | 98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Hampshire | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Hampshire | 24c | 74.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Middlesex | 44c | 65.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…9fc7backed Hampshire | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…23e0backed Middlesex | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hampshire | 59c | 55.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Middlesex | 41c | 55.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hampshire | 52c | 41.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Middlesex | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Middlesex | 37c | 35.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Hampshire | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hampshire | 52c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…2ae5backed Middlesex | 67c | 24.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hampshire | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.