Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Meiqi Guo vs Hina Inoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d7af4cff5d386c182fc0989864273eed92b34be19095f046f4b0692f1e5ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hina Inoueof Meiqi Guo, Hina Inoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Hina Inoue | 44c | 756.94$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.94 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hina Inoue | 50c | 575.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Meiqi Guo | 55c | 386.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Meiqi Guo | 16c | 261.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hina Inoue | 46c | 229.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Meiqi Guo | 38c | 171.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Meiqi Guo | 40c | 148.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Meiqi Guo | 54c | 136.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Meiqi Guo | 13c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Meiqi Guo | 33c | 94.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hina Inoue | 51c | 86.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Meiqi Guo | 59c | 51.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Meiqi Guo | 33c | 48.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Meiqi Guo | 49c | 46.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hina Inoue | 42c | 46.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hina Inoue | 74c | 37.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Meiqi Guo | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Hina Inoue | 48c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Meiqi Guo | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Hina Inoue | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.