CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8304367ef95a71dde296d1af24aba8da27261d120991df699890caae0bd26b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 1,965$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 75c | 1,928$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 75c | 799.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 25c | 645.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 553.57$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 22c | 506$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Under | 78c | 491$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 26c | 481.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 25c | 304.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 25c | 281$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 32c | 223.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Under | 66c | 193.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 182.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Under | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Over | 25c | 177.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 25c | 177.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Under | 72c | 103.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Over | 24c | 98.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Under | 65c | 93.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 25c | 87.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 25c | 84.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 72c | 79.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 26c | 65.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 25c | 62.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 24c | 61.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Under | 65c | 31.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 76c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Under | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 67c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.