Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rancho Santa Fe: Jack Anthrop vs Karl Kazuma Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8322c93b72cc67af4e479364c41ef45264a97da482dfb194072b774449e43b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jack Anthropof Jack Anthrop, Karl Kazuma Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 50c | 1,582$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jack Anthrop | 53c | 773.03$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jack Anthrop | 50c | 731.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.11 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jack Anthrop | 62c | 328.12$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Jack Anthrop | 52c | 290.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Jack Anthrop | 50c | 234.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 17c | 159.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 39c | 154.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 47c | 135.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 37c | 116.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 48c | 66.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Jack Anthrop | 51c | 57.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Jack Anthrop | 58c | 42.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 42c | 25.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Karl Kazuma Lee | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Karl Kazuma Lee | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.