TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pedro Boscardin Diasof Pedro Boscardin Dias, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez10c5,596$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.979,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Pedro Boscardin Dias73c4,035$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.5179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez13c1,217$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4127331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez33c973.68$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3113050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c938.2$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Pedro Boscardin Dias66c771.12$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1821257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez34c431.92$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8513450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez16c427.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3730226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez22c412.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Pedro Boscardin Dias66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9384963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias67c294.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2329444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez17c276.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.61,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias73c270.76$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0420459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…9ab6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez5c229.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez14c203.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.539431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez34c176.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.193,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez19c159.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.463876.3%29 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez19c145.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.396,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez18c141.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.929,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez36c136.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0210829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez23c123.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.974,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez17c113.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.112,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757e…8128backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez18c106.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez21c86.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.093,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa81d…7447backed Pedro Boscardin Dias66c74.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez21c72.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1620327.1%55 W · 148 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias65c60.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0934637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez21c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Pedro Boscardin Dias71c53.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.538868.2%60 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez37c52.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez28c51.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4720836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517f…7811backed Pedro Boscardin Dias67c51.2$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5068…ed5cbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias69c50.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…9c2dbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Pedro Boscardin Dias66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1488560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez35c40.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4241668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Pedro Boscardin Dias65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.181,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pedro Boscardin Dias80c32.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.684,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Pedro Boscardin Dias71c32.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.58968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Pedro Boscardin Dias66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0916370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias67c28.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.512,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias64c21.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7599255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Pedro Boscardin Dias64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.235559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Pedro Boscardin Dias77c19.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.543661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias65c19.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8139845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…e392backed Pedro Boscardin Dias65c18.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.392548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Pedro Boscardin Dias78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8614272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.