Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835c16c5bb3981b28cccd1f7c7b94f301f3a46ab4c8c8a5bbedae790677791ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floriana FCof FC Drita, Floriana FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Drita | 39c | 2,685$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Drita | 41c | 1,437$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Floriana FC | 59c | 969.43$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.47 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Floriana FC | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Floriana FC | 70c | 765.3$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Floriana FC | 60c | 758.44$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed FC Drita | 40c | 502.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Floriana FC | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Floriana FC | 59c | 412.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Drita | 24c | 385.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Floriana FC | 59c | 356.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC Drita | 29c | 329.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Floriana FC | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Floriana FC | 64c | 129.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Floriana FC | 59c | 107.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Drita | 41c | 95.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Floriana FC | 70c | 92.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Floriana FC | 59c | 76.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Drita | 41c | 74.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Floriana FC | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Floriana FC | 69c | 71.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Floriana FC | 71c | 57.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Floriana FC | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Floriana FC | 63c | 39.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Floriana FC | 71c | 36.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Drita | 37c | 29.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked FC Drita | 37c | 29.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Floriana FC | 62c | 25.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Floriana FC | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Floriana FC | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Floriana FC | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)this page
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Team to AdvanceFC Drita won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.