Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839b126618adc857cf459431b518ed8a212601a6a255b81593efee35650cd882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,080$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.37 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 613.38$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 38c | 542.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.47 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 526.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 382.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 364.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 59c | 170.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 59c | 136.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 122.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 56c | 106.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked No | 30c | 101.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 75.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 48c | 41.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 37.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 52c | 35.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 60c | 32.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 45c | 26.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 25.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Team to AdvanceFC Drita won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.