Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3844fe93a214f7f46e92c0b6bfad0a15b58e0db547ffcb9d4feff048c327450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 2,479$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.64 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 2,115$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 1,455$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 61c | 1,416$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 57c | 1,402$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.94 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 47c | 1,292$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 988.74$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 26c | 861$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 827.21$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.89 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 32c | 793.28$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 73c | 182.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 43c | 160.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 148.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 51c | 148.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 55c | 147.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 39c | 131.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 123.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 99.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 36c | 90.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 23c | 65.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 21c | 63.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 57.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 19c | 55.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 39c | 32.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 50c | 27.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 43c | 23.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Over | 47c | 21.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Floriana FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: Team to AdvanceFC Drita won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Floriana FC won
- Spread: Floriana FC (-1.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.