Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8363a81ecaa4db7d37a9b16a244e7f1df410d370bb0864272a0687477e44f911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,857$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 424.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 72c | 415.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 73c | 344.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 54c | 181.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 66c | 103.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 98.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 27c | 48.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 31c | 35.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 24.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)FC Twente won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.