Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ed3cf22cff03cfc6256b96d760513dd0497fbc6461ce34061aed9e55f65634e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Twenteof FC Twente, PEC Zwolle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PEC Zwolle | 50c | 9,703$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked FC Twente | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,464.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked PEC Zwolle | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Twente | 45c | 1,827$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.4 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed FC Twente | 56c | 870.29$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Twente | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked FC Twente | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed PEC Zwolle | 44c | 455$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Twente | 55c | 362.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed PEC Zwolle | 45c | 342.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed PEC Zwolle | 49c | 269$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed PEC Zwolle | 51c | 224.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed PEC Zwolle | 51c | 224.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked PEC Zwolle | 49c | 211$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PEC Zwolle | 44c | 192.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed PEC Zwolle | 48c | 182$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FC Twente | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked PEC Zwolle | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked PEC Zwolle | 58c | 97.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed PEC Zwolle | 53c | 96.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked PEC Zwolle | 45c | 84.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Twente | 55c | 80.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked PEC Zwolle | 44c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Twente | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed FC Twente | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed FC Twente | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…6d8cbacked PEC Zwolle | 42c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PEC Zwolle | 42c | 39.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed PEC Zwolle | 49c | 34.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed PEC Zwolle | 33c | 34.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed PEC Zwolle | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Twente | 41c | 33.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked PEC Zwolle | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PEC Zwolle | 44c | 30.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed PEC Zwolle | 47c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FC Twente | 56c | 27.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed FC Twente | 58c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed FC Twente | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed PEC Zwolle | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)this page
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.