Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb192c7e59405da21fa6a47ef7f8887f1450c02eb106201b8aa2663dec1760b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 1,194$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.73 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 52c | 866.57$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.62 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 52c | 668.83$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 643$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.36 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 65c | 353.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 346.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 24c | 268.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 262.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 91.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 69.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 42c | 40.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 49c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…03b0backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 27.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Twente vs. PEC Zwolle: PEC Zwolle O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)FC Twente won
- Spread: FC Twente (-2.5)PEC Zwolle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.