Tennis · resolved market
ITF Porto: Matisse Bobichon vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ca336491e74600071c0be7a5312488cb8d5406d6b27e9b088febad6dc3bf7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matisse Bobichonof Matisse Bobichon, Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 68c | 1,613$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Matisse Bobichon | 30c | 423.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matisse Bobichon | 36c | 228.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 195.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 68c | 154.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 142.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 54c | 138.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Matisse Bobichon | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Matisse Bobichon | 63c | 96.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 58c | 90.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Matisse Bobichon | 37c | 65.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Matisse Bobichon | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 63c | 60.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Matisse Bobichon | 41c | 30.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Matisse Bobichon | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Matisse Bobichon | 47c | 28.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matisse Bobichon | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 63c | 17.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.