Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843f53b9e069e07ca858ba4e82dc3e536acb4ad60c752f1f38b94b05c2684195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 39c | 4,515$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.57 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 722$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.76 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 593.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked No | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 182.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…95ddbacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed No | 52c | 63.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 51c | 62.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 47c | 57.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Yes | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…5ae1backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Hibernian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: KAA Gent O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Team to AdvanceKAA Gent won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)KAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.