Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddd261638ab1a2d24f5cdf6dc30ae5a2f29cf8cea8ad347f99ac0acafbafafd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 3,892$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.56 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 2,400$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.71 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 38c | 1,501$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.29 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 58c | 1,318$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.74 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 38c | 1,060$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.22 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 1,055$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.29 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 795.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 38c | 765.42$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 660.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 60c | 488.7$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 42c | 452.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…63e4backed Over | 42c | 447.62$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 345$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 60c | 245.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 38c | 218.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…13d4backed Over | 41c | 210.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 34c | 197.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 60c | 124.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 39c | 117.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 59c | 106.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 60c | 99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 60c | 96.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 60c | 91.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 90.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Over | 43c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7161…fcb0backed Under | 55c | 82.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…4c18backed Over | 42c | 74.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Over | 40c | 69.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 64.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 61c | 49.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 40c | 40.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 40c | 34.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 43c | 31.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 194 | 63.4%123 W · 71 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 61c | 29.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Over | 41c | 29.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…3f50backed Under | 60c | 23.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 60c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Hibernian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: KAA Gent O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: Team to AdvanceKAA Gent won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)KAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.