Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844028d0f5cd60458fb2e17a5a8ea0ce69864996df0b38fd5230dce0929b5a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 27c | 20,954$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 10,481$7,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,395$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 2,918$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,189$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.9 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 24c | 1,531$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 26c | 915.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 29c | 697.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 676$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 70c | 623.27$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 23c | 488.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 295$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 283.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 73c | 203.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 65c | 198.85$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 70c | 189.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 123.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 37c | 114.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked No | 75c | 101.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 77c | 96.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 84.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 81.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 75.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 68.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 75c | 64.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 71c | 59.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…f3c8backed Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…930abacked Yes | 27c | 41.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…34efbacked No | 75c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…e1a5backed No | 65c | 31.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…c4c3backed No | 77c | 28.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.