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Premier League · resolved market

Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c5,049$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.476,25345.5%2,847 W · 3,406 L-35.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed No63c3,104$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.537650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No61c2,832$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.535658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes38c2,563$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.824637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes37c2,311$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked No63c2,233$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.118756.3%49 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.966650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c1,797$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.275,00741.2%2,064 W · 2,943 L+19.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9914958.4%87 W · 62 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c1,271$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.11,38332.1%444 W · 939 L-20.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c1,219$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c1,171$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.752,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes39c910.2$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.372725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c903$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.4353834.2%184 W · 354 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c756.1$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.621,46544.4%650 W · 815 L-5.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18596843.8%424 W · 544 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,43943.6%628 W · 811 L-21.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes37c475.33$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No63c450$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.515856.3%89 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes37c420.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4239555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes37c389.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe388…9da3backed No63c388.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes5c377.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8610221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c369.58$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.622,66247.8%1,273 W · 1,389 L+45.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No63c356.29$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c356.29$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf26…609fbacked Yes36c307.71$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.78837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No63c289.29$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.043855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes37c275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7526547.5%126 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c260.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6787848.7%428 W · 450 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Yes38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.281233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c250.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.441,96535.1%690 W · 1,275 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c246.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3957544.9%258 W · 317 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.49036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes37c238.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes38c225.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.695364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No63c210$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.718959.3%112 W · 77 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No63c210$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.718355.7%102 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes35c206.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.469147%325 W · 366 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes11c195.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.473923.1%9 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes37c191.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.924257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No63c185$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4517857.9%103 W · 75 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c174.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4410971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No60c157$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No65c156.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.675642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes39c155.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c152.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7277850.5%393 W · 385 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No61c143.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.94663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes37c124.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1915553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes38c123.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5690352.6%475 W · 428 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.223847.9%114 W · 124 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8b…466ebacked No63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e8…503cbacked Yes39c103.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No65c99.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8329158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes38c97.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7761050.8%310 W · 300 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5626547.5%126 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6421250.9%108 W · 104 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.927223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed No61c65.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes37c63.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.428859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No61c60.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.416175.4%46 W · 15 L+12.0wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+35%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c59.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.911,79353%950 W · 843 L+34.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8020…88a4backed No66c58.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c55.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7915957.2%91 W · 68 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes39c51.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0810843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fa…ba5dbacked Yes36c50.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2613550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes38c47.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9431456.1%176 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.977960.8%48 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No61c41.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.238159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Yes38c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No62c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.975032%16 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes37c39.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.528549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92df…d869backed No62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9820259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.986261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No62c31.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7310359.2%61 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes37c28.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712080%16 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+57.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No62c28.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No62c27.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.386056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No61c24.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.419154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.