Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8455e954f378b5ac7ec0b817739a7e6196a297e44a3d1c9f4c58555911261bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Marymount Lionsof Loyola Marymount Lions, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…b97cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 79c | 3,398$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego Toreros | 32c | 1,365$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 72c | 731.63$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 659.49$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 44c | 596.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 568.5$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros | 10c | 553.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 513.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 333.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked San Diego Toreros | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 204$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 73c | 195.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Toreros | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 162.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Toreros | 19c | 151.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked San Diego Toreros | 11c | 127.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 76c | 119$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked San Diego Toreros | 43c | 116.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 60c | 107.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 68c | 89.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64bb…2631backed San Diego Toreros | 21c | 87.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 48c | 82.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Diego Toreros | 20c | 74.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 69.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked San Diego Toreros | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego Toreros | 30c | 54.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Toreros | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 76c | 43.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed San Diego Toreros | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…8249backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. San Diego Torerosthis page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Loyola Marymount Lions (-2.5)Loyola Marymount Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.