Tennis · resolved market
ITF Claremont: Alyssa Ahn vs Midori Castillo Meza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848e4b6d01e3282080c36189bac898687daeee79923a084d85f1e38f0c25738c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alyssa Ahnof Alyssa Ahn, Midori Castillo Meza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Midori Castillo Meza | 19c | 1,099$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Midori Castillo Meza | 20c | 623$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Midori Castillo Meza | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Alyssa Ahn | 62c | 305.27$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alyssa Ahn | 67c | 204.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alyssa Ahn | 60c | 155.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alyssa Ahn | 62c | 153$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Midori Castillo Meza | 19c | 139.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Midori Castillo Meza | 21c | 120.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Midori Castillo Meza | 22c | 99.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Midori Castillo Meza | 36c | 70.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Midori Castillo Meza | 18c | 66.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Midori Castillo Meza | 43c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Midori Castillo Meza | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alyssa Ahn | 71c | 32.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Midori Castillo Meza | 36c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Midori Castillo Meza | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Midori Castillo Meza | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Alyssa Ahn | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alyssa Ahn | 78c | 27.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Alyssa Ahn | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Alyssa Ahn | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.