NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849b76f68c071228b491f9dae1adf8469f74bd0b4fa5cb817939e46464511523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Oilers, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Oilers | 34c | 4,405$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 71c | 2,262$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 66c | 1,561$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oilers | 32c | 1,176$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Predators | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…559bbacked Oilers | 31c | 940$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 67c | 833.72$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators | 66c | 833.72$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.46 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Predators | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Predators | 67c | 389.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…9c10backed Predators | 69c | 370$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers | 33c | 363.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…ed50backed Predators | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…f1aebacked Predators | 69c | 270$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 32c | 179$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Predators | 72c | 154$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 29c | 137.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Predators | 70c | 99.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Oilers | 23c | 97.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 70c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 29c | 75.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Predators | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Oilers | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Oilers | 30c | 54.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Predators | 68c | 53.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Oilers | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Predators | 68c | 39.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Predators | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Predators | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Oilers vs. PredatorsPredators won
- Oilers vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.