South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ac90f1b4af45ec3e933c7f52ae77aa6247fde9314d7916cc93efe2fd972f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 79c | 1,298$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,171$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 742.4$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 28c | 684.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 418.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 8c | 283.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 10c | 189.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 143.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 142.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 24c | 130.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 108.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 105.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 30c | 97.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 87.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 86.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 70.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 37.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 75c | 25.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 77c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.