NHL · resolved market

AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Bridgeport Islanders

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8576dd6a44ca650d2561623ee3114cd7a4eb70d2ad3fd16041eb59cbc2c05c5e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bridgeport Islandersof Hershey Bears, Bridgeport Islanders
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,943 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56d4…9c57backed Bridgeport Islanders	46c	7,181$3,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,851.2	231	55%127 W · 104 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Hershey Bears	53c	2,195$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.24	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Hershey Bears	55c	778.4$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.12	533	37.5%200 W · 333 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Hershey Bears	55c	708.34$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.59	538	49.4%266 W · 272 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc0…b7e9backed Hershey Bears	52c	529.99$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.6	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Hershey Bears	53c	399.72$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.85	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Bridgeport Islanders	47c	337.13$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.06	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Hershey Bears	53c	286.56$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.04	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hershey Bears	52c	286.53$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Hershey Bears	55c	216.01$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Hershey Bears	53c	201.69$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.9	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hershey Bears	53c	173.27$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.84	339	50.1%170 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Hershey Bears	54c	150$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hershey Bears	49c	132.32$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.33	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hershey Bears	54c	118.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.08	530	50.6%268 W · 262 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Hershey Bears	55c	114.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	337	45.7%154 W · 183 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Hershey Bears	54c	110.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Bridgeport Islanders	52c	107.76$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Hershey Bears	55c	107.03$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.87	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hershey Bears	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	498	51%254 W · 244 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Bridgeport Islanders	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	497	47.9%238 W · 259 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Bridgeport Islanders	46c	99.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+17.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Bridgeport Islanders	49c	98.88$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.45	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Hershey Bears	53c	97.18$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.51	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Hershey Bears	53c	91.84$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.68	53	67.9%36 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Hershey Bears	53c	91.57$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bridgeport Islanders	78c	86.4$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Hershey Bears	54c	80.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.27	175	53.1%93 W · 82 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6299…e13ebacked Bridgeport Islanders	46c	77.83$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.03	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Hershey Bears	53c	75.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Bridgeport Islanders	48c	74.6$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.79	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Bridgeport Islanders	59c	72.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.13	199	64.3%128 W · 71 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Hershey Bears	53c	69.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Hershey Bears	55c	61.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.06	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bridgeport Islanders	61c	59.84$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+11.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hershey Bears	43c	59.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.36	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Bridgeport Islanders	48c	52.41$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.25	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda8c…50d9backed Hershey Bears	53c	50.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Hershey Bears	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…6536backed Hershey Bears	55c	49.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Hershey Bears	52c	39.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Hershey Bears	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Hershey Bears	55c	35.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bridgeport Islanders	50c	33.84$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	920	49.7%457 W · 463 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Hershey Bears	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	208	55.8%116 W · 92 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Hershey Bears	54c	29.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Hershey Bears	55c	28.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc216…ee39backed Hershey Bears	55c	28.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef4…e208backed Hershey Bears	52c	28.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Hershey Bears	53c	27.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	173	63%109 W · 64 L	+16.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Hershey Bears	53c	27.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Hershey Bears	54c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Bridgeport Islanders	55c	19.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.76	91	78%71 W · 20 L	+15.9wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Hershey Bears	53c	19.23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-7.4wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Bridgeport Islanders

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market