TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
MVK Esportsof MVK Esports, GAM Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2aa1…c691backed MVK Esports62c2,708$1,677 inWon+$1,031.519839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked GAM Esports3c2,197$73 inLost-$73.2575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed GAM Esports9c1,491$140 inLost-$140.151,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed GAM Esports3c888$27 inLost-$27.1926346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed GAM Esports2c828.06$17 inLost-$16.562072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed GAM Esports4c800$32 inLost-$3229927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GAM Esports39c705.13$275 inLost-$2752,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed GAM Esports39c512.82$200 inLost-$20074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked GAM Esports10c502.04$49 inLost-$48.711,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked GAM Esports60c416.67$250 inLost-$2509147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked GAM Esports25c400$100 inLost-$1001,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MVK Esports75c400$300 inWon+$1001,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed GAM Esports15c318.66$48 inLost-$47.818741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed GAM Esports12c268.63$32 inLost-$31.8514562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1468…f142backed GAM Esports41c205.61$85 inLost-$85944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked MVK Esports76c201.59$153 inWon+$48.381,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MVK Esports75c200$150 inWon+$5030661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed GAM Esports39c192.31$75 inLost-$7523240.5%94 W · 138 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed GAM Esports24c161.59$39 inLost-$38.781,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed GAM Esports32c152.92$49 inLost-$4931522.9%72 W · 243 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed GAM Esports16c79.66$13 inLost-$12.7569041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed MVK Esports75c76$57 inWon+$191,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed GAM Esports39c51.28$20 inLost-$2012157.9%70 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed GAM Esports39c32.05$12 inLost-$12.511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.