Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8595b8dc4e9d6ce9dc4307204ddbbc182d0a291d56a6550871e11e2ceda048fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 65c | 11,000$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 5,561$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 4,545$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 70c | 1,583$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.66 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 837.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Under | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 42c | 482.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 52c | 332.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.81 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 40c | 203.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 165.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 163$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 143.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 74c | 127.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 49c | 119$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 33c | 82.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 45c | 64.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 62c | 53.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 61c | 44.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 62c | 35.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…2196backed Under | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 63c | 24.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 63c | 23.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Over | 62c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.