Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce72a5ca5f72d6b9cd95ebf2b47e171c457efe158d118ce3c8dd53ab4a297d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hibernian FCof Celtic FC, Hibernian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hibernian FC | 58c | 12,023$6,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Celtic FC | 42c | 11,910$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.2 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hibernian FC | 62c | 640.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Hibernian FC | 62c | 554.82$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtic FC | 37c | 281.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Celtic FC | 43c | 273.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Celtic FC | 38c | 235.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hibernian FC | 54c | 178.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Celtic FC | 41c | 126.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Celtic FC | 41c | 122.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Hibernian FC | 58c | 114.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Hibernian FC | 44c | 111.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Celtic FC | 38c | 104.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Celtic FC | 74c | 96.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Celtic FC | 38c | 90.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hibernian FC | 66c | 84.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Celtic FC | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Celtic FC | 42c | 64.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Celtic FC | 40c | 59.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Hibernian FC | 62c | 56.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Celtic FC | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Celtic FC | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Hibernian FC | 64c | 47.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Hibernian FC | 61c | 45.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Celtic FC | 41c | 43.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Celtic FC | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Celtic FC | 41c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Hibernian FC | 59c | 30.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Celtic FC | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Hibernian FC | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Celtic FC | 46c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtic FC | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…b2e2backed Hibernian FC | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)this page
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.