CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e40983a4423089bee1f90b017752d710b00343ecb6d243ffe317ab4800fa14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Time Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Time Waves | 5c | 1,446$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Time Waves | 1c | 1,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Time Waves | 8c | 1,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Time Waves | 4c | 960$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Time Waves | 8c | 688$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Time Waves | 4c | 468$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Time Waves | 5c | 410.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Time Waves | 8c | 385.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Time Waves | 4c | 346.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Time Waves | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Time Waves | 5c | 251.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Time Waves | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Time Waves | 6c | 191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Time Waves | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Time Waves | 13c | 109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Ground Zero | 61c | 66.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Ground Zero | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 1 WinnerGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
- Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Time Waves (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.