CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbec724f7f9c57523491eb800545995d4b9b873714777e16f2cd0aa62460a92e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Time Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Time Waves | 2c | 9,801$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Time Waves | 5c | 920$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Time Waves | 32c | 797.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Time Waves | 19c | 602.53$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ground Zero | 78c | 585.95$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Ground Zero | 67c | 449.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…3ba9backed Time Waves | 5c | 441.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Ground Zero | 74c | 437.45$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Time Waves | 5c | 435.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Time Waves | 22c | 352.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Time Waves | 33c | 312.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Time Waves | 24c | 237.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Time Waves | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ground Zero | 75c | 211$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Time Waves | 19c | 198.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Time Waves | 14c | 161$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Time Waves | 17c | 144$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Time Waves | 15c | 130.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Time Waves | 26c | 124.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Ground Zero | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Time Waves | 13c | 116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ground Zero | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Time Waves | 16c | 111.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Time Waves | 21c | 108.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Time Waves | 24c | 107.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Time Waves | 26c | 90.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Ground Zero | 72c | 88.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Time Waves | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Ground Zero | 79c | 46.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Time Waves | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ground Zero | 74c | 30.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ground Zero | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…be3fbacked Ground Zero | 79c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group BGround Zero won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Time Waves - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
- Map Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs Time Waves (+1.5)Ground Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.