Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Eryn Cayetano vs Dana Guzman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85eaba08b605cd84908e4533647f4782a32bcf14b0a0ad196a47a3636830672c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dana Guzmanof Eryn Cayetano, Dana Guzman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dana Guzman | 3c | 1,955$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.78 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dana Guzman | 38c | 500.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.71 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dana Guzman | 26c | 483.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Eryn Cayetano | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Eryn Cayetano | 60c | 312.56$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Eryn Cayetano | 59c | 262.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Eryn Cayetano | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dana Guzman | 46c | 188.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Dana Guzman | 41c | 163.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Dana Guzman | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eryn Cayetano | 58c | 128.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Eryn Cayetano | 30c | 122.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Eryn Cayetano | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Dana Guzman | 21c | 96.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Eryn Cayetano | 59c | 88.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Dana Guzman | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Dana Guzman | 41c | 74.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Eryn Cayetano | 58c | 74.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Eryn Cayetano | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dana Guzman | 41c | 50.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dana Guzman | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dana Guzman | 63c | 32.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dana Guzman | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Dana Guzman | 39c | 27.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dana Guzman | 39c | 26.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Eryn Cayetano | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.