Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Tauson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8615bb85f225a3a1ed694b258b5107acdf80aa13cc97e191eb73aa0049c850cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tausonof Alexandrova, Tauson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexandrova | 59c | 864.59$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.16 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tauson | 50c | 729.07$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.23 | 2,255 | 37.1%836 W · 1,419 L | +43.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alexandrova | 50c | 698.46$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.23 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tauson | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 294 | 52.7%155 W · 139 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alexandrova | 63c | 345.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 1,123 | 37.2%418 W · 705 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Tauson | 43c | 340.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 175 | 19.4%34 W · 141 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tauson | 41c | 235.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tauson | 36c | 177.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Tauson | 75c | 174$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tauson | 49c | 157.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Alexandrova | 67c | 114.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Alexandrova | 67c | 109.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexandrova | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,905 | 35%1,368 W · 2,537 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3f9dbacked Tauson | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Alexandrova | 52c | 93.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Tauson | 43c | 79.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 445 | 47%209 W · 236 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alexandrova | 51c | 57.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,451 | 51.7%1,268 W · 1,183 L | +11.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Alexandrova | 65c | 56.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…2c84backed Tauson | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Alexandrova | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Alexandrova | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Alexandrova | 58c | 42.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…1147backed Tauson | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Alexandrova | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 432 | 45.6%197 W · 235 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…1407backed Tauson | 43c | 28.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tauson | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Alexandrova | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…20f5backed Alexandrova | 55c | 23.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Alexandrova vs Tausonthis page
- Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara TausonClara Tauson won
- Set 2 Winner: Alexandrova vs TausonAlexandrova won
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Alexandrova (+1.5)Alexandrova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.