Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x862ff55a7531ac66dc3e1b747b79d8ea4ddd77218ebfe83c3e582795977a914d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolina Catamountsof Western Carolina Catamounts, The Citadel Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 4,147$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.11 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 3,565$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 2,706$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.62 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 1,622$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 44c | 737$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 49c | 630$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 467.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 46c | 381.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 47c | 109.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 60.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 58.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 39.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 45c | 36.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 47c | 32.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-8.5)Western Carolina Catamounts won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 146.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.