TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina Catamounts

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Carolina Catamountsof The Citadel Bulldogs, Western Carolina Catamounts
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Western Carolina Catamounts76c2,062$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.2712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs25c2,013$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked The Citadel Bulldogs25c1,983$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4925130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked The Citadel Bulldogs23c1,491$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3437727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c1,436$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.032,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed The Citadel Bulldogs25c712$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.542,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Western Carolina Catamounts75c652$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts75c513.53$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.538254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c442$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.11,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c328.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.636147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed The Citadel Bulldogs26c302$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…7deabacked Western Carolina Catamounts74c295$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c244.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.012,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Western Carolina Catamounts78c227.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed The Citadel Bulldogs22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed The Citadel Bulldogs23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed The Citadel Bulldogs13c202.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.632,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs23c199.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.792,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts76c193.75$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8524340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c182$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21e7…c843backed The Citadel Bulldogs25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts77c134.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.634,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Carolina Catamounts75c131.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Western Carolina Catamounts79c117$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Western Carolina Catamounts74c110.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed The Citadel Bulldogs26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed The Citadel Bulldogs24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Western Carolina Catamounts77c97.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.031,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed The Citadel Bulldogs22c89.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.765844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70d…9125backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+128%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed The Citadel Bulldogs25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb5…db32backed The Citadel Bulldogs24c79.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed The Citadel Bulldogs24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed The Citadel Bulldogs16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs24c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.644445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed The Citadel Bulldogs24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.786657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs24c41.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c34.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3425152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Western Carolina Catamounts77c28.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6142751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f34…3bd9backed Western Carolina Catamounts77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc25a…f243backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c21.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.023786.5%32 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Western Carolina Catamounts75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f1…6bc6backed Western Carolina Catamounts78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42176.2%16 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick77cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8eacbacked Western Carolina Catamounts76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82972.4%21 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick76cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9369…8b85backed Western Carolina Catamounts78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43275%24 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe4…52d7backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84468.2%30 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e16…fe0abacked Western Carolina Catamounts78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.44669.6%32 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick77cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Western Carolina Catamounts78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Western Carolina Catamounts76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Western Carolina Catamounts77c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.221560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.