Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. Binghamton Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8646b72339435d76dbe321710141be3be892607d2f4d95ca171bd6a22c15d375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albany Great Danesof Albany Great Danes, Binghamton Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Albany Great Danes | 77c | 3,090$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Binghamton Bearcats | 25c | 2,850$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.43 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Albany Great Danes | 76c | 2,201$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 18c | 1,486$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Binghamton Bearcats | 10c | 1,013$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 28c | 889.59$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Binghamton Bearcats | 17c | 723.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 11c | 681.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Binghamton Bearcats | 21c | 350$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 333.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 273.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Binghamton Bearcats | 16c | 273.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Albany Great Danes | 67c | 224$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 33c | 162.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Binghamton Bearcats | 35c | 156.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 36c | 139.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Binghamton Bearcats | 26c | 135.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Albany Great Danes | 65c | 109.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Albany Great Danes | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Binghamton Bearcats | 20c | 72.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Albany Great Danes | 77c | 68.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Albany Great Danes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Albany Great Danes | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 46.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Albany Great Danes | 65c | 32.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 33c | 30.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…4125backed Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Albany Great Danes | 66c | 28.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Albany Great Danes | 67c | 23.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Albany Great Danes | 78c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Albany Great Danes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Albany Great Danes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. Binghamton Bearcatsthis page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 136.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 137.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.