NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8665ec635cfa48e3036ff99f61b6e4a750ada3b841ec81276560d9e5b6c2f57b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Raptors | 2c | 5,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 21c | 3,272$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.39 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Lakers | 78c | 3,121$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.36 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Raptors | 20c | 1,873$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.59 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Raptors | 11c | 1,824$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Lakers | 79c | 1,556$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors | 21c | 1,170$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…40f3backed Raptors | 4c | 894.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 3c | 831.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Raptors | 21c | 677.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 4c | 676$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Raptors | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Lakers | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Raptors | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 77c | 405.96$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Raptors | 8c | 337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Raptors | 4c | 323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…7214backed Raptors | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 78c | 199.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Raptors | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Raptors | 23c | 180.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 76c | 165.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Lakers | 79c | 164.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Raptors | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Raptors | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Raptors | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raptors | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Lakers | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Lakers | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Lakers | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…3619backed Lakers | 79c | 127$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Lakers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…ab48backed Raptors | 13c | 118.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…ff4abacked Lakers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Lakers | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…f5e1backed Lakers | 79c | 93.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…8959backed Lakers | 79c | 91.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…1a53backed Raptors | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Raptors | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Lakers | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 78c | 56.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Raptors | 23c | 52.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Lakers | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Lakers | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…6be4backed Lakers | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Lakers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392e…9f19backed Lakers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Lakers | 79c | 20.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…2071backed Lakers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2027backed Lakers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lakers | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Lakers | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…5bd5backed Lakers | 78c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff15…3189backed Lakers | 79c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.