MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8680d04bb19547d1701a4ac0768ed4dbbc27b2cd220bf827275f343d109b46ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 5,625$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.49 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 3,326$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.94 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Colorado Rockies | 28c | 3,079$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.2 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 2,275$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 1,140$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Colorado Rockies | 16c | 982.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 949.99$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 727.5$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Colorado Rockies | 8c | 635.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado Rockies | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 374.28$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 235.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 164$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colorado Rockies | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 96.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 69.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.