Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871e767ae2e91521a4b184287d792640ea7a7628d54505ceb70d2081c0ef48e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked SU Esports | 4c | 1,272$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed SU Esports | 22c | 808.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed SU Esports | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SU Esports | 16c | 531$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked SU Esports | 11c | 526.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed SU Esports | 7c | 261.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SU Esports | 24c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…5f59backed SU Esports | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed SU Esports | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SU Esports | 13c | 167.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 160.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SU Esports | 18c | 136.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SU Esports | 18c | 127.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports | 12c | 111.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked SU Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed SU Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed SU Esports | 18c | 63.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Misa Esports | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Misa Esports | 77c | 33.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.