Tennis · resolved market
ITF Uriage: Luca Wiedenmann vs Alessio Basile
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872e65c6fadb22d30b1a32c51c51d7ab628ab4471fab27730b5333a3e6c8228d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luca Wiedenmannof Luca Wiedenmann, Alessio Basile
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alessio Basile | 23c | 3,473$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.95 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luca Wiedenmann | 78c | 2,109$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.08 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luca Wiedenmann | 74c | 2,064$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.65 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alessio Basile | 4c | 1,186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Luca Wiedenmann | 79c | 826.16$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alessio Basile | 4c | 712.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Luca Wiedenmann | 78c | 633.33$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alessio Basile | 21c | 300.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alessio Basile | 17c | 240.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alessio Basile | 20c | 201.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alessio Basile | 26c | 159$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Luca Wiedenmann | 80c | 116.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Luca Wiedenmann | 74c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Luca Wiedenmann | 75c | 67.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Luca Wiedenmann | 80c | 66.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Luca Wiedenmann | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Alessio Basile | 34c | 57.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luca Wiedenmann | 79c | 46.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Luca Wiedenmann | 75c | 32.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Luca Wiedenmann | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Luca Wiedenmann | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Luca Wiedenmann | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Luca Wiedenmann | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.