Champions League · resolved market
Will Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876423beab56413a562ad0eb8c36234b2fc039aa53af0c3ee8b5560b4ce7e506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 2c | 3,444$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 28c | 2,656$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.62 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 1,777$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.93 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 74c | 1,606$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 1,221$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 1,101$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.31 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 79c | 1,029$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 1,002$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 947.22$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.16 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 73c | 709.18$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…2f42backed Yes | 26c | 610.45$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 28c | 464.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 428 | 50.2%215 W · 213 L | +25.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 75c | 422.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 346.29$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 344.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 417 | 43.4%181 W · 236 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 74c | 241$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 23c | 232.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…ab46backed Yes | 24c | 215$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 204.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 15c | 198.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 73c | 137.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 131.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 17c | 127.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…3555backed Yes | 27c | 70.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 63.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 37c | 63.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 47.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 617 | 41.5%256 W · 361 L | -21.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Yes | 34c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 73c | 34.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 424 | 44.1%187 W · 237 L | -22.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 15.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 73c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.