CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: BIG vs. FURIA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x879b81df4912ca6f4a73e806366a351510c5bdb9a3671503576cc64f65b3dc88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof BIG, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed BIG | 19c | 5,604$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.45 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed BIG | 19c | 3,749$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.25 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed BIG | 12c | 3,736$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.6 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed BIG | 18c | 2,009$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed BIG | 14c | 1,900$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked BIG | 20c | 1,060$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed BIG | 8c | 999.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BIG | 6c | 947$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked FURIA | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked BIG | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed BIG | 5c | 478.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BIG | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 80c | 345.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed FURIA | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed BIG | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BIG | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ac…f7d3backed FURIA | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.