Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c15da50f7dba1ac31a9ffecb7f2048ed44a7e93b15a29f043e8140571f4a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 18c | 3,474$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.53 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,342$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 1,198$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 19c | 1,182$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 831.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 13c | 799.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 611.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 14c | 377.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 358.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 18c | 295.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 274.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 266.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 14c | 216.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 193$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 16c | 170.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 8c | 126.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ca…1b43backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 16c | 63.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 22c | 58.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 20c | 50.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.