Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c10e1c5d545d3c27e391caa4771b6537b39da807a84b3cb4be528a63c9ec729
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,213$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.39 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,080$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.02 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 53c | 658.02$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 61c | 626$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 20c | 522$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 52c | 486.85$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 458.16$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 453.1$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.36 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 415.12$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 51c | 409.94$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 38c | 283.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 33c | 236$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed No | 38c | 233.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 32c | 218.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 203.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 73c | 170.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 134.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 133.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…e3e0backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 59c | 67.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7159…7cfcbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 24c | 63.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 57c | 54.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…6a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 47.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 29c | 44.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 44c | 42.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 64c | 38.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked No | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…ef2cbacked Yes | 68c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 49c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…44aebacked Yes | 80c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed No | 59c | 21.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 62c | 20.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed No | 54c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.