MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884068f86395395c96cd96ed30bc06a5b86aa42d1add9e92f32e5251469095eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Athletics, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Athletics | 49c | 3,471$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.82 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 3,050$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,048$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.62 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Athletics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 999.77$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.02 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 638.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 587.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Athletics | 46c | 531.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…f2c1backed Athletics | 25c | 463.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Athletics | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 387$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 268$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Athletics | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 46c | 236$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Athletics | 47c | 208$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Athletics | 50c | 170.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Athletics | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Athletics | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…b822backed Athletics | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 123.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 119.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Athletics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…98f1backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Athletics | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Athletics | 48c | 64.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Athletics | 52c | 59.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Athletics | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Athletics | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 47c | 39.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletics | 43c | 37.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Athletics | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Athletics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 26.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 46c | 25.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Athletics | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Athletics | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.