Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884c08263e93e25d7f9b169f7d8a164186e37bd6f320f6c63626d288e1cc1404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 7,750$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion | 31c | 3,085$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 2,379$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.11 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 24c | 2,250$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 76c | 2,054$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,568$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.68 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,178$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 946$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 63c | 774.04$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 73c | 648.17$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.21 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed MOUZ | 8c | 573.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 79c | 503$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked GamerLegion | 26c | 350.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 350$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 75c | 333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 65c | 320$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ | 71c | 281.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed GamerLegion | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GamerLegion | 35c | 110$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 80c | 108.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed MOUZ | 70c | 94.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abe…ad59backed GamerLegion | 24c | 88.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked MOUZ | 76c | 85.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 66c | 75.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed MOUZ | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed MOUZ | 71c | 61.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 27c | 61.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed MOUZ | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe8…e9d9backed MOUZ | 71c | 57.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 76c | 43.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed MOUZ | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed MOUZ | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked MOUZ | 76c | 26.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed MOUZ | 78c | 23.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked MOUZ | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed MOUZ | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…7a34backed MOUZ | 52c | 19.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…636fbacked MOUZ | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.