Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Paula Badosa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88610636314237bde1ed7c18bd5f1a5079f1b08a05960dd6d2883751b6e8e6cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paula Badosaof Marina Bassols Ribera, Paula Badosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 4c | 13,379$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 12c | 3,667$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 18c | 2,062$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 15c | 1,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 9c | 540.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 25c | 404.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paula Badosa | 79c | 349.28$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 267.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 17c | 243$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 21c | 195.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 194.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 19c | 186.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 7c | 181.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 6c | 167.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paula Badosa | 74c | 162.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 17c | 161.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 156.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 154.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 140.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 103.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Paula Badosa | 75c | 101$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Paula Badosa | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 79.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 76.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 60.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 42.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 41.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Paula Badosa | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Marina Bassols Ribera | 26c | 39.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Marina Bassols Ribera | 32c | 32.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Paula Badosa | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Paula Badosa | 75c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.