Tennis · resolved market
ITF Figueira Da Foz: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Tiago Torres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ad67da836f788ac893f26bfa2326544f9ffaa8c6d4b37741c608c3a7f214f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiago Torresof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Tiago Torres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tiago Torres | 70c | 1,001$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 59c | 585.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tiago Torres | 42c | 545.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 23c | 199.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tiago Torres | 46c | 168.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 24c | 162.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 45c | 150.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Tiago Torres | 39c | 136.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Tiago Torres | 47c | 98.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Tiago Torres | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 50c | 51.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 27c | 50.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 55c | 50.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 41.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 53c | 39.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 57c | 39.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 55c | 28.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 47c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Tiago Torres | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tiago Torres | 54c | 19.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.