Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88db3599ee4634e68ebbe51052981eb6c4382dd8dffb193421c3d6aa975e9b5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 12c | 1,949$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 75c | 1,230$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 1,180$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 15c | 666.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 599.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 301.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 292.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 285.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 256.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 171.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 160.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 156.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 14c | 138.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 105.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 105.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 84.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 75.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 66.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 65.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 26c | 65.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 62.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 51.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 26c | 48.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 28c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…e7b2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 32.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 72c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 78c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Targu Mures: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Max Alcala Gurrithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gueymard-Wayenburg vs GurriGurri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.