South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891a8c910b2187884572b3993433f779c4f31308a784fecf839988eb4be5abfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,101$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.31 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 3,958$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.69 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,175$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.18 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 3c | 1,420$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,285$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 1,212$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 76c | 1,101$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 968.97$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 835.91$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.08 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 69c | 782.67$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 230 | 67%154 W · 76 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 698.99$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 79c | 556.3$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 480.41$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 1,703 | 52%886 W · 817 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 477.95$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 13c | 295.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 16c | 292$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 69c | 271$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 326 | 40.2%131 W · 195 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 75c | 246.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 69c | 188.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 188$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 180.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 27c | 174.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 32c | 157.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 78c | 155.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 29c | 147.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 92.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2,655 | 54.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 78.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked No | 79c | 63.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…8623backed Yes | 26c | 57.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 69c | 46.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 155 | 65.8%102 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 45.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 450 | 46.2%208 W · 242 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 27c | 42.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 40.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 38.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1,688 | 50.8%857 W · 831 L | -4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 69c | 33.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 30.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 69c | 30.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 68c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 71c | 20.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 701 | 53.2%373 W · 328 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…5e47backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.