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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes39c62,754$24,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,245.0719151.3%98 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c16,397$10,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.282,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No61c8,229$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.421043.8%92 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c7,958$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.748,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c6,007$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.635,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No61c5,537$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.632,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c5,423$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.522,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c4,380$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.611,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No54c3,284$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.546432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No62c2,710$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.6810154.5%55 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No36c2,195$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.188427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c1,890$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5359539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5463372.7%24 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c1,260$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.823,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No61c913.41$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.237861.5%48 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes68c868.12$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2212453.2%66 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No62c750$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28520549.3%101 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No67c506.59$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.856848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No61c493$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.272166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes56c437$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0422365%145 W · 78 L+22.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No47c427$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3731647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c406.58$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.821,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No31c366$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3724045%108 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes46c363.78$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes14c358.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No61c302.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5619251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes78c285.71$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.313,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Yes71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c268$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No62c250.34$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3670153.2%373 W · 328 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No30c232.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8818946.6%88 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…63a7backed Yes73c221.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes29c216.18$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3917642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No61c198$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3274258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No61c197.02$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1881356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes77c195.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c181$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.372,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No61c180.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No64c177.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5822349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No58c158.36$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3134341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No62c157.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,68850.8%857 W · 831 L-4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes33c145.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484323.3%10 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-46.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No34c132.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3919749.7%98 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes62c121.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No62c116$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8144561.6%274 W · 171 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No63c115.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7965761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No31c114.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c112.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.841,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes39c101.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409536.8%35 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes14c94.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes42c94.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041641.1%171 W · 245 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No73c90.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.124437.3%91 W · 153 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No62c87.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.275556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No53c80.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4714349.7%71 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.25356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes18c74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3227339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No38c71.47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1993046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No57c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6220552.7%108 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No61c65.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.689745.4%44 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No61c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.252462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Yes41c57.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No19c54.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.836232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.412464.5%80 W · 44 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020742.5%88 W · 119 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe06f…f289backed Yes33c50.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.815363.4%97 W · 56 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes31c48.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes28c46.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No62c42.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0325653.1%136 W · 120 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes60c41.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5521164.5%136 W · 75 L+23.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Yes39c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.632556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No61c35.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.767157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes37c32.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126826.5%18 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No61c32.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.526653%35 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes36c31.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.271926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No44c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…f21dbacked No61c30.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes59c29.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes45c29.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0720553.7%110 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No49c26.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5911941.2%49 W · 70 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c25.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3241854.5%228 W · 190 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No61c25.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9713351.1%68 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed No62c24.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.231540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Yes59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No66c22.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7610445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No57c22.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.615141.1%62 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No62c21.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4234365.9%226 W · 117 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No61c21.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.439757.7%56 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.