Champions League · resolved market
Palmeiras vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8932fad37269ab6cd886d2cc65eb29d318419344e553ddb209b210e2f1467fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 65c | 12,644$8,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.87 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 36c | 8,670$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.8 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 4,224$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.51 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 39c | 1,293$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 61c | 1,251$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…0f7cbacked Yes | 37c | 805$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 11c | 781.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 31c | 734.13$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 38c | 679.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…f91bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 38c | 498.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…b091backed No | 63c | 485$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…0285backed No | 63c | 465$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 15c | 463.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 39c | 460.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 64c | 443.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed Yes | 3c | 350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 330.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 34c | 303.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…93e7backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 19c | 259.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 25c | 197.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…f52dbacked Yes | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed No | 80c | 189.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 36c | 155.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 33c | 138.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 72c | 138.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed No | 65c | 111.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 36c | 108.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1,050.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…ab32backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 31c | 80.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 71c | 69.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 33c | 61.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…fc0fbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 64c | 39.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…6420backed No | 63c | 34.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…f53bbacked No | 76c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 67c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.