Cricket · resolved market
T20 South American Championship: Mexico vs Brazil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8932fddc80a3f09aa021a8fb836b4e451d8e0438cb6ac264338830b2c72df488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Mexico, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mexico | 15c | 933.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mexico | 18c | 229.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mexico | 24c | 205.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Brazil | 77c | 156.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…ea6bbacked Brazil | 73c | 145.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Brazil | 73c | 117.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…8b24backed Brazil | 72c | 107.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…2db6backed Brazil | 72c | 99.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Brazil | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Mexico | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Brazil | 73c | 64.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mexico | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…61bdbacked Brazil | 72c | 49.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…73f9backed Brazil | 74c | 38.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Mexico | 44c | 29.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil | 76c | 27.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Brazil | 74c | 26.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Brazil | 74c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Brazil | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.