Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Katarina Jokic vs Hanyu Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89437f65d6889156dba66cc7c1643009c0157afbea1e9aac54b541ff9217ffca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guoof Jokic, Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Jokic | 16c | 8,098$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.14 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jokic | 18c | 1,473$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jokic | 11c | 678.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Guo | 79c | 631.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jokic | 20c | 427.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Jokic | 16c | 391.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jokic | 11c | 302.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jokic | 10c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Guo | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Guo | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jokic | 22c | 134.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…7b09backed Jokic | 23c | 132.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Guo | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Guo | 79c | 125.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Jokic | 24c | 121.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…a096backed Jokic | 23c | 120.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Guo | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jokic | 21c | 110.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jokic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Guo | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Guo | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.40per pick | 29cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Jokic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Guo | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.58per pick | 28cpaid | +215%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jokic | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Jokic | 13c | 96.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Jokic | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jokic | 19c | 89.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jokic | 14c | 81.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Jokic | 25c | 64.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…f611backed Jokic | 23c | 62.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Guo | 80c | 46.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Guo | 75c | 45.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Guo | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jokic | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Guo | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Guo | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…48abbacked Guo | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Guo | 75c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Guo | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Guo | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.